And the national average for interstate moves was 1.76 dependents. Only five states had smaller inbound households. The average new Californian’s tax filings had 1.6 dependents – including the filer. That’s logical as young adults are frequent movers, and high-cost California isn’t a friendly place for folks with families. The 2021 influx was heavy with single people. Only two states - North Dakota and Louisiana - had bigger drops. Moves to the Golden State fell by 11% in this period. Florida was up 23%.īut California was the place to avoid. Nationwide, interstate relocations grew 11% between 20. A lockdown mentality inspired an upswing in national migration patterns. REAL ESTATE NEWSLETTER: Sign up for “Home Stretch” to track SoCal housing trendsīut consider how life changed over these five years. Again, the third-largest influx behind Texas and Florida.

IRS stats that year show 432,443 taxpayers arrived in California. Go back to 2016, well before anybody without a doctorate in pandemics knew what a coronavirus was. Worse, this disinterest in California is growing. taxpayers making an interstate move in 2021.

Its population inflow was roughly half the national norm with 2.7% of U.S. Look, no matter the reason – costs, congestion, civics or civility – California’s sun-surf-sand lifestyle isn’t selling. And, yes, only two states – Texas and Florida – had more arrivals.

With caveats noted, California in 2021 had 385,188 new taxpayers – that’s the number of dependents on IRS filings – who moved to the state. Now, this math isn’t perfect – it doesn’t track non-filers, for example – but it’s a decent indicator of migration trends for a lucrative demographic cohort: taxpayers. This data tracks where Americans lived in 2021 when they filed their 2020 tax returns – and if they moved in that year. Who will fill our jobs? Use our facilities or businesses? Or, more crucially, pay taxes?Ĭonsider what my trusty spreadsheet learned while studying fresh taxpayer stats from the IRS. This is not good news in a world of numerous shortages that now includes people, who have been elevated to a critical commodity. Basically, it’s become “a great place to visit, but who’d want to move there?” While the great “California exodus” debate grabs headlines, another slice of migration patterns reveals a far more ominous population trend for the Golden State. A swiftly declining number of Americans are choosing to move to California.

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